玉米市场正在从廉价低量均衡向适中均衡改变
2020nianyilai,yumichengxiandafuxiadie,jinchaoyichuyuhanqinggaowei。xianhuofangmian,junongyexiangcunbuyumishichangjianceyujingshuju,2020nian12yuefen,guojichanqujunyunlingshoujiadaodameijin1.24yuan,tongbixiadie35.6%,nianneizhangfudaoda26.5%。qihuofangmian,daojinchaoweizhiguochanyumiqihuozhuliheyuerineizuilianjiachengxianzai1yue13ri,weimeidun2930yuan,chuangchuhanqingxingao,biwunianduoqian,2015nian3yue11ricengchengxiandemeidun2572yuanchaochukuayue358yuan/dun、13.9%。
2020nianyumijiaqianxiadieshiduoshenfenyingxiangdeouerjingxiang
conghanqingjiaodulaikan,2020nianyumijiaqianyanxuxiadiejubeibirandeguifuxingzi,yeheshishichangyuqi,danjiujinchaodezhangfulaijiang,yichengxian“chaozhang”,zheishiduoshenfenzonghehoufashengdeouerjingxiang。
yumilinchuzhengcedaxiaohou,shichangjiaqianshouyaoyougongxujueyi,danhanqinggouchengdegaokucunheyingaoguzhizhidaofashengdegaochanchudengtimuzailuokonglinchushoumaihoujihebiaoxian,shichanggongyingyalieranjiada,jiaqianchengxianxiadie。jiaqiandexiadieyouzhishihuafeiliangdedafujinbu,chanxiaoxuzhang,yumishichangmanmanyouchandayuxugaibianchengchanquefaxu。2020nian5yueweikaiqipaimaiyilai,shichangdaochangpaimaidezhudongxingjuehoudiluo,jijin100%chengjiao,qieyijiafudujiaoda,bianceyumijiaqianshuizhangchuangao。
lingwaiyifangmian,yiqing、jiduqihou、chaozuodengzhishiyumijiaqianouer“chaozhang”。xinguanfeiyanyiqinghuanqiushuzhanjiqileguojiduishiliangningjingtimudedanyou,yixieguoducaiyonglexiandingchukoudengbanfajiqibenqianchaozuo,bianceleguojiliangjiaxiadie,bingchuandaozhiguoji。taifengshixinanjubudiyuyumidaofu,zhishiyumishouchengbenqianjiaozhezengtian,bianceyumijiaqianxiadie。tongshiyumishouchengheshangshiyanhou,nongrenxishou,qiyejingxiangjiangjiashoumai,jinyibuqianghualeyumidiejiayuqi。shichangchaozuoduishiliangdiejiadezhutuixiaoyingyehenjiaozhe。
weishenmezai2015nianhaiyanjunchandayuxudedapishiliangzhongleichengxianlenizhuan?zheichongshibiaoxianleshichangduizhengcedejisushunyingxinghezaiziwodiaojijinchengzhongdehuoluoxing。wunianqianyumiguqieshouchujinbuleshichangxuyao,zhishiyumijiaqianhechanliangzaiyigeshuanggaodeshuipingduizhijunheng,ernangxiwunianzhongdelinchupaimai,zengtianleshichanggongying,zhishiyumijiaqianhechanliangzaiyigeshuangdideshuipingduizhijunheng。xianzai,linchu、linchupaimaimanmanchashoushichang,yumishichangzhengzaiconglianjiadiliangjunhengxiangshizhongjunhenggaibian,zheiyijinchengjiaqianbumiandongyao,danyebiranhuipeitongzhehuafeijiangluohegongyingzengtian,zaibuguoliangzhengcegansheganyudehuanjingxia,shichanghuizixunyigeshizhongdejunhengdian。yishizheishihoudezhengcediaoliyaonizhouqi、yinuanhe、jijidu,yibimianqinraoshichangjiepai,fashengxindefenqilijunheng。
gongdaoyingdayumijiaqianjisuxiadie
yumizaiwoguoshouhuomianjizuida,zongchanliangzuigao,shidiyidashiliangzhonglei,qijiaqiandejisuxiadieduiwoguoliangjiadequantibiangengjubeijiaoqiangyingxiang,yingyinfagaoduzhengshi,changyicongsigefangmiangongdaoyingda。
yishijinkuaidiaojizhengcedaoxiang,zengjinyumichuchanguifuchengzhang。zaishengzhuchuchanmanmanguifuheyumishenjiagongchannengyanxukuozhandehuanjingxia,genzheyumiqukucunjunshi,guoduweiguandiaokongdeyudijiangyulaiyuxiao。changyichongshicaozongshichangjizhiduichuchandediaoliganhua,bingfuyixiangyingdezhengcediaoji,gudongmianliyumichuchanguifuchengzhang。luoshishiliangningjingshengzhangyiwuzhi,cengcengyashiyiwu,gaibianyixiechusuoqinghuyumichuchandepianxiang。jianshaoyumihedadouchuchanzhebutieguifanchayi,kaishizhengcejingqidenghao,jiqizhuangjiachuchanzhudongxing。yantaobianceyumichuchanzhebutieguimokuozhandaohuabeichanqu,zhidaohuabeiguodukuozhanyumishouhuomianji。
ershichidixinshichangchulidadoutimu,jianhuan“zhengdi”jingxiang。dadouheyumichuchandiquduidiedujiaogao,jiadayumishouhuomianjihuizaibiranshuipingshangyingxiangdadouchuchan。2020niandadoujiaqianxiadieyiyangjiaozhe,yumi、dadoujiaqiantongshidafuxiadiedehuanjingxia,yingtongbugongtongxunmidadouchuchandexinkongjian。qianghuakejigongguan,jinbudadoudanyuanmianjichanliang,kuozhandadoushizhongguimo。jingyouguochengshangye、nongyezoujinlaidengduozhongqingshiqianghuayubaxi、eluosidengguodudefeizhuanjiyindadourukouxiezuo。
sanshizengqiangjixihediaokong,qingkongshichangchaozuoshuifen。yihouyumijiaqianguokuaixiadie,cunzaibirandechaozuoshenfen。jiaqianxiadiezhishigefangzhutibianjikanhaohoushi,jiagongqiyezhudongbeihuo,shangyeshangzhudongshoumai,zhuangjiatingjiaxishou,duofangxishouzhutuijiaqianxiadie。changyixiangganbufenzengqiangdiaoji,shenqieshichangmodi,suishilinghuishichangkucunhuanjingheshouliangjindu,danglingkaishizhudongjingqidenghao,zhidaoshichangyouxushouliang,tongshizengqiangduiqiuliangshoumaihezhengcexingshiliangfamaichukudejianshichachao,yanlichachudaiyichaozuo、hongtaiwujiadenggezhongshoufaweiguixingdong。
sishiwanmeiyumijitihuanpinrukoubanli。yumicaichanlianjiaozhang,danxingjiaoda,zhixuciyuguodukongjianheshihou,zaishichangjizhideganhuaxia,jiaqianhuimanmanquyuanwen,guojichuchanmianjiyehuijiaokuaiquyugongdao,chanxuganxichengxianziyuxinghehuan。ruoshipukairukouxianding,bijianghuizengtiangongying,shichanghuizaiguojichuchanhejiaqianshuangdidediweixunmijunheng,jiangduishiliangningjinghenongrenhaochufashengchijiuyingxiang。yishiyaoyanxuduizhiyumirukoupeiebanliguizhi,gongdaojiezhiyumirukouguimo。wanmeiyumijitihuanpinrukoubanli,duizhigenjizijizhunshengherukoupeiebanli,zongheyingyongshouyixingbanfa,jianggaoliang、damaidengrukoutihuanguojiyumihuafeideshumujianguguiruyumizijilvdejiezhiguimo。